The Week Ahead: Markets Prepare for CPI Data, Retail Sales, and a Busy Earnings Season

TLDR

  • The S&P 500 and Nasdaq ended last week at all-time highs, propelled by semiconductor and artificial intelligence equities
  • April consumer price index data is set for release Tuesday; energy costs will draw close attention following a surge of over 20% in March
  • Semiconductor shares rallied sharply, with Micron climbing nearly 38% for the week and Intel advancing on news of a preliminary agreement to manufacture chips for Apple
  • Notable earnings reports this week feature Cisco, Under Armour, Klarna, Alibaba, and Applied Materials
  • Bitcoin hovered near $81,332, remaining in a narrow band around the $80,000 mark

(SeaPRwire) –   U.S. equity markets concluded last week at record levels, with the S&P 500 gaining 0.84% to close at 7,397.09 and the Nasdaq rising 2.35% to 29,195.16. The Dow Jones Industrial Average edged up just 0.02%, indicating that the advance was primarily led by technology rather than broad-based participation.

E-Mini S&P 500 Jun 26 (ES=F)
E-Mini S&P 500 Jun 26 (ES=F)

The employment report provided investors with reassurance. The U.S. economy added 115,000 jobs in April, significantly surpassing the 55,000 forecast by analysts. The unemployment rate remained steady at 4.3%. While the robust figures alleviated concerns about labor market weakness, they also diminished expectations for imminent Federal Reserve interest rate reductions.

The yield on the 10-year Treasury note declined to 4.33%, and the VIX dropped to 17.08. Gold prices increased by 1.39% to $4,747, while oil prices fell 1.79% to $93.38—partly due to indications that the U.S. and Iran may be progressing toward a diplomatic agreement.

Semiconductor stocks stood out as top performers. Micron soared almost 38% over the week, Sandisk climbed more than 31%, and Intel jumped following reports of a foundational deal to produce chips for Apple. Advanced Micro Devices also posted gains.

AI Deals Drive Big Moves

Anthropic announced it would utilize SpaceX’s Colossus supercomputer to expand capacity for its Claude AI platform. Akamai’s stock rose sharply on news of a $1.8 billion cloud services agreement with Anthropic. Nvidia revealed plans to invest up to $2.1 billion to develop as much as 5 gigawatts of AI infrastructure.

Not all AI-related stocks advanced. SoundHound declined despite reporting stronger sales, HubSpot dropped after issuing weak guidance, and Cloudflare retreated following disappointing second-quarter forecasts and workforce reductions.

Rocket Lab surged 34% after posting strong first-quarter results and securing its largest launch contract to date. Dell gained after President Trump encouraged White House guests to “go out and buy a Dell.” Spirit Airlines ceased operations after a rescue effort failed.

Bitcoin finished the week near $81,332, down 0.12%, maintaining its position close to the $80,000 threshold without a decisive move in either direction.

What to Watch This Week

April CPI data will be released Tuesday morning, with energy prices under particular scrutiny after a jump exceeding 20% in March. Elevated gasoline prices are already straining household budgets, especially among lower-income consumers.

Source: Forex Factory

April retail sales figures are scheduled for Thursday. Sales at clothing and miscellaneous retail stores declined in the previous month. Earnings from Under Armour, On Holding, Birkenstock, and Klarna may offer new insights into consumer spending trends.

Cisco will report earnings Wednesday after market close. Alibaba follows on Thursday, and Applied Materials is also set to report Thursday, potentially offering a clearer view of demand for semiconductor equipment.

The Federal Reserve remains a focal point. The labor market appears sufficiently strong to sustain economic growth but not so weak as to prompt near-term rate cuts. Bond yields and commentary from Fed officials are likely to continue driving market sentiment in the coming days.

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